It looks like the complexion of the Derby took a change today with the Lexington. Rockport Harbor certainly won't run back in the Derby and even Lukas will have trouble running Going Wild back in the Derby. If he does, he is worse ___ than I thought he was.

Suddenly this Derby that had the potential to have a ridiculously fast pace, is looking moderate to me.

Who are frontrunners? High Limit? Moderate speed, not likely to go 45 and change. Consolidator? Stalker. Bandini and High Fly are stalkers. That is it. If Spanish Chestnut runs again (which would be stupid, unless his only reason is to be Tabor's rabbit), then he becomes the speed.

You might just see High LImit and Bellamy Road as the lone frontrunners. And for those of us that have soured on High Limit after the Bluegrass, that is not a lot of competition for Bellamy Road.