I think BB's Best is the most probable winner. He's coming out of the fast paced Florida Derby and he held fairly well against better horses than these. I expect a lifetime top.

I'm very interested to see how Scrappy T. does. He was very close to Bellamy Road in the Wood. The Wood pace was in line with the final time (Which was obviously blazing. So that means the pace was also blazing for the class). That means that Scrappy T ran a terrific race by being so close and not packing it in badly. On the flip side, the track looked friendly to speed that day. I think Scappy T's performance here could give us a clue about the quality of Bellamy Road's performance. I expect him to run well here. I think BR's pace cooked several of those cheap horses in the Wood.

Proud Accolade may be well suited to 8F around 1 turn. (off track is a ?) He can't be as bad as he ran in the Rushway (on slop) and would be tough to beat if he could make the leap from his 2YO form to 3 (with just the typical improvement). Plus this is Pletcher!

I think the horse to key against is Survivalist "if he takes some serious money". The Gotham was not an especially good field and he wasn't as good as Scrappy T in the Wood. He was well off BR's pace and just sucked up for second.

May be worth spreading in the exactas against Survivalist.



Post Edited (04-30-05 16:13)