Michael,

Could be race 1, but the horse is 8 points faster than the competition. I know he runs back on 2 weeks rest after running a negative 5, but I am not sure I would consider betting against a horse who is 8 points faster, "one of the all time good shots".

I think the Pletcher/Velasquez has a shot to move up in the race and if the "super horse" collapses, he might beat him. Pletcher is 5-2, the "negative 5" horse is 2-1. Not sure that is a good bet.

The maiden is the second fastest horse of all time, after all, with his negative 5. Unless Ghostzapper is in the race, he probably can't lose.