This year like I said in my 5/5 post all the horses everyone liked had the pre-derby jump up pattern which historically has not worked. Of all the negative #'s I liked AA the best because his previous race before the jump up was a toss due to being sick.

We were all a victim of pace and the pre-derby jump up pattern!

If you read American Turf Monthly they have a grid on historical derby traits. Interesting fact was all derby winners have that prior prep coming home the last quarter in under 25.1. Take a look - Giacamo was one of the few who had that last quarter in under 25.1!

CTC - Does the California #'s have to be revised? Were they too slow?