Who can't win the Met? (310 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: May 30, 2005 01:19PM
Michael,
Sir Shackleton does have the best one turn mile number. You have to take note of that, but the problem is suspicion of one turn Gulfstream efforts/figures.
I believe Bejarano has a very nice clock in his head. Note the ride on Forest Danger last. He paced somewhat off the leaders and do you think it likely that pacing is what got him up? You can say "oh he didnt pace, Forest Danger just ran his consistent pace race". I don't know about that. Velasquez always seems to have FD more forwardly placed and Bejarano, at least to me, seems to get horses to relax a bit early. In this race, that could be in his favor. Still, the Hallandale races bother me. Both for Shack and Forest Danger.
A case can be made for all the horses. The easist way to win the race may be to eliminate those who CANT win. You never know, A handicapper can be wrong about these things but for wagering purposes the two that can't win are Ghostsprinter and Forest Danger.
That leaves four, Shack certainly has a chance and if he wins who would be surprised? But the other three look good too. The good thing about Love of money is that he's tested at distance and has not been lacking. He also gets to run light.
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