Personally, I think a Beyer of 122 is a bit on the fast side.

The race almost certainly needed to be broken out from the rest of the day (I didn't look at the rest of the day) because it rained mid day and they worked on the track after that. It's unlikely that the track "didn't" change speeds a bit.

A 122 would mean that Silver Wagon ran a much improved Beyer of about 111. That's cetainly not impossible because he is lightly raced and has decent back form, but it's far from certain.

Pomeroy and Sir Shackelton saved some ground and may have earned 102 Beyers, but Pomeroy did not look he was finishing very well here.

I think the performances of both Forest Danger and Love on Money have to be discounted. We could debate why they ran the way they did, but the bottom line is they didn't run their best figures.

IMHO, 122 is a bit of a stretch even if possible. I think it can often be dangerous to assume everyone ran to their figure in a hotly contested race of higher quality than most of the combatants are used to.



Post Edited (05-31-05 14:06)