I bet against all 3 (cashed against FC, not the others), and I'll be betting against this one. We'll be putting out paragraphs on each horse with the data (I started writing them 15 minutes ago, as a matter of fact), so you won't need the analysis. Haven't figured out yet whether it will be ROTW or not.

I felt very secure betting against WE and FC (threw him out completely, in a short field), because there were horses to bet ON, and even last year Purge was fast enough if he handled the distance and SJ didn't run a top. Less so this year because if AA runs his race it's lights out-- I kind of like a horse in here (I'll hold that one out for a while), but I will be protecting under AA to at least get my money back.

In all those cases-- and of the others going for the TC-- the horses were coming off two huge efforts. AA isn't, although there are other negatives.