Ron-- if I were looking at an early 2yo (pre-Labor Day), I might give it some weight if the situation were extreme, like Jan/Feb, or late May/June. I pay a lot more attention to the the development in the sire profile, and the siblings.

And in general, I try to stay away from early 2yos-- they are a trap. Most of the time they are simply precocious, and succeeding because only 5% of the crop is ready to run at that point. My rule of thumb is that they are only worth buying if they are fast enough to be worth the money with no development at all through the end of the year.

We did that with Birr for Prestonwood-- bought her off a big figure maiden claiming win opening day at Saratoga for 120k, she went on to be third high weight on the experimental the same year-- without getting any better. But that's the only pre-labor day 2yo I can remember buying that we did any good with-- and in fact I can't remember buying more than one or two others, ever. One is a filly called Ring And A Prayer who just ran third in an allowance at Delaware-- in her second start after about 10 months off.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 07/14/2005 02:06PM by nicely nicely.