Re: alabama (533 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: August 20, 2005 12:19PM
I'm somewhat baffled by this race.
Spun Sugar has obvious merits, but is no cinch.
R Lady Joy was impressive beating Round Pound on the slop, but is slightly less certain to duplicate that effort. If she can duplicate that race though, I think she should be able to beat SS.
Dance Away Capote looks like she's rounding into good form and finished close to RLJ.
Sweet Symphony was better than she looked on paper in all of her starts, but this is a pretty tough test. Very few horses move out of the limited allowance ranks into Grade 1 races successfully at this time of year when the 3YOs are a little more seasoned.
If they make Sis City the favorite or close second choice I think you have to try to beat her. She's had two poor efforts in a row and people will try to make excuses for them - like she didn't like the slop etc... However, even if you excuse the last two, she has never looked like a 10F horse to me. So I think there's two ways for her to lose. She "may" simply be off her best game and even if she's not she may tire late. I hope they bet her heavily so it makes it worthwhile to get involved in exotics.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 08/20/2005 04:19PM by classhandicapper.
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