Re: ROTW (475 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: September 05, 2005 09:01AM
First off Philadelphia Park Day TWO
You couldn't ask for a more fair track on Day Two. It also showed it will give up some faster times if the horses are of better quality.
Penn Derby
Yeah, its an interesting race. United is definitely a horse to scrutinize. I'd have more conviction if those better numbers were two turn numbers. Theres a quarter mile between where he's been and where he's going. Additionally, those two nice dirt figures were restricted class races. Still a 1:22 indicates some ability and the weight off is significant. They paid 150K for him. He's not a bad looking horse. The speculative parts involve the distance and mojo. If he is getting dosed in Philly the symptom is speed that keeps going. Is that how Love of Money won last year?
Sun King's preferred style is lead on the rail. If you peruse his past performances you'll see he fairs best in that scenario. Unless he puts a clearing burst on them hes not gonna get the trip he prefers. Its a long run to the first turn, but they will be protecting position inside of him. What if Sun King bobbles on the break? Then what?
There are some live horses in this race. Any horse that has run a 2 has to be considered.
The Sensational Six:
Quadrant
United (hasnt run a 2)
Anthony J (Been right there in 3 big money stakes, carries 114)
Smokescreen (Close, giving him credit for 2's due to trouble)
Tani Maru (has to carry 119)
Golden Rainbow
Its possible Sun King, Real Dandy and South Africa could make up the Trifecta. Its also possible that the above horses could fill out at least 2 of the slots.
Southern Africa is working with bad intentions. But they haven't faired well on this type of layoff. Still, those works are eye opening and suspect he's gonna give a good account of himself, even if not down to the zed level.
I'm gonna be on one of the sensational six. I'm just not sure which yet...lol
If I don't post it pre off time I promise not to bring it up.
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