The Juvenile Races (739 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: October 28, 2005 06:39PM
Does anyone have any strong opinions on who the best closers are in either Juvenile race?
I've been reviewing the PPs and charts for all the BC juvenile races and there's a pretty clear cut pattern of the races containing several speedy sprinters that are trying to stretch out. That has lead to a bunch of fast paces (way more often than is typcial for any random race). That has lead to reasonably high percentage of races being won from well off the pace. Not always of course, but more often than you would expect from a random sample of races. A few of the races were pretty clear pace collapses.
It looks to me like both juvenile races this year are loaded with speed/pressers. So it wouldn't shock me if we get two very fast paces tomorrow in races where a lot of horses are untested going that long. Granted, some of the major horses like First Samurai may be able to rate just off an win. But, I have to think that there's a pretty good chance that a few horses that look like contenders are going to get buried by fast paces if the pattern holds tomorrow. That might allow a bomb or two among the closers that don't look quite as good to sneak into the exotics at very good value.
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