Tmon-- Take a look at 3yo spring figures compared to those of older horses, at any level. And that's before taking into account any differences in overall ability between Chile and the U.S.

None of which means that horse can't win, and this is not the toughest older horse stake there ever was. But it's likely that his first effort here was about what he was running there, and that he will need a significant new top to win.