Re: Malibu thoughts? Uh.. Yeah.. Here's one.. (429 Views)
Posted by:
Dana666 (IP Logged)
Date: December 28, 2005 12:26PM
Ok, but if you watched all the previous races, then how do you not realize "Lucy was going to move the ball" as you say?
In all fairness to the Santa Anita track crew, the track had been sealed as they were expecting rain; supposedly the track is to be deeper this year and more forgiving (they brought in folks from the east coast to work there), yet that news really helped (further) screw up my handicapping because as you astutely point out, the track was a joke, complete inside speed bias, no shot for anyone else.
PS: When I saw Wilko open at 5-2 (and I knew he had no shot at all) I thought I could get a price, but I didn't nail the winner; how P-Val could let "Tower" clear his horse is a mystery to me -- I thought he couldn't lose with the track profile. Wilko is just a bad luck colt who may never have the stars align again in his favor.
It's a tough game! Look at my earlier post -- how much better could anyone's analysis be? I had three races nailed cold (exactas and all), and I still didn't make any money. The prices were too short, and I bet too much into the pick six.
The grass course is in super shape though -- very lush and fair. Give the track crew credit where credit is due. We'll see today how the main track plays -- as always a crapshoot!