I was going to bet on Superfly. Here's why-5th in Breeder's Cup, bred for the distance, ran a 2 in a sprint & a 4.2 in Breeder's Cup with potential for good forward movement as a 3 yo. 3rd in Champaigne to 2 horses with holes in them as 3yos going 1.25 miles. Full brother to stakes winning Andromeda's Hero, trained by a Derby winning trainer -Zito. I was expecting at least 30-1 and perhaps a lot better.

Instead the field is filled with Johnny come latelies like Itsallbouthechase, who ran 2nd in a minor stake at GP and wouldn't have been found with a telescope if he met the likes that Superfly ran 5th to in the Breeders Cup.

So, I'll be sitting out pool 1 and if Superfly makes it into pool 2, chances are it will be because of a good performance, so he'll be an underlay. Thanks a lot, panel!