Re: ROTW (583 Views)
Posted by:
richiebee (IP Logged)
Date: March 04, 2006 03:09PM
In todays GP Hcp ROTW, I will take a swing with Sun King if I see odds at 6/1 or above at tote time. He has had two good runs over the Hallandale strip (TG #s: 0, neg 0.2) and probably can move forward off a wide and weighty return to the races.
Comments on other contenders:
ITS NO JOKE: is probably an owner entry. INJ has conditions left, and Becky Maker has saddled only two starters in graded stakes. He was favored over Brass Hat at Polytrack, ran a bad one. IMO he is not as talented as HARLINGTON, another 4YO who may be overreaching here. And can somebody tell me how if NY players are so smart, how does a colt bred like HARLINGTON pay $11.20 winning first out at the end of November at AQ?
SUAVE: 1 for 5 over GP. Two of his GP races have resulted in the slowest TG #s in his career. Has visited negative territory in 4 of his 22 lifetime races, winning none of those four starts.
FUNNY CIDE: When evaluating whether the scale should be adjusted, investigate if you will Funny Cide, 26 lifetime outs, 9 negative TG performances. Will he ever recuperate from a 4YO campaign that saw him go negative in 8 of 10 starts? This poster is on record as saying I would like to see Frankel have a chance with FC; IMO Tagg team has done a poor job of getting FC to relax in AM and in races.
SUN KING: see above. Also interesting TG sire stat on Charismatic. His 3YOs have a TG index of 14.1 (810 starters, win % 13), 4YOs 11.2 (342 starters, win % 11), 5YOs 25.2 (51 starters, win % 18). Hard to reconcile the 25.2 TG index with the 18% strike rate, but if it is accurate it looks like the Charismatics get dirt cheap with age but win rather prolifically.
ANDROMEDAS HERO: Like SK, should be a factor in a lot of Graded events this year above 9 marks. A tough read because his lifetime best TG was accomplished over the quirky Calder surface, and his TGs at other tracks show him to be slower than these.
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