richiebee Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> The only colt in here I see moving to the next
> round of the "tournament" is Pletcher's Keyed
> Entry. I think both Achilles and Greeley can run
> well today, but will progress no further after the
> magic carpet -- the inner dirt-- is yanked out
> from underneath them.
>
> I disagree with the possibility of a KE speed pop.
> KE has broken slowly in 2 of his 3 races, and
> think Prado will try to restrain KE off the early
> pace of Like Now and Sweet Northern Saint. How KE
> reacts to rating tactics if this is the case will
> be interesting to see.
>
> Would have to think KE and Achilles are very close
> in the wagering.

Respect your opinion. I'm not certain who will move on from here and who won't. The challenge for me today is to get into sniffing range on this race.

I'm not sure I share your sentiments about Keyed Entry's likely pace scenario. His past performances say July precocious and on the lead at every call at 3. I'll be very surprised if they don't attempt to use that speed to position for the first turn. If he's not right on the lead, right off, I'd be very worried if I was holding tickets on him. His preferred running style is clear. Theres also some suspicion regarding his soundness. Its a long way from July to January to pass early developing races with a Honor and Glory.

If on the other hand this is Pletcher's best Derby hopeful, (and i have no knowledge of that), they may try to play pace altering games with him today. I like his backside breeding. It goes a long way to cover some of the frontside holes. Then theres the White Mercedes issue.

Sweetnorthernsaint is a nicely bred horse and he is quick. I certainly can't rule him out of the tourney pre race. Truth is I'm beginning to favor him. He's not let a horse in front of him since the Turf start. I'm not sure he can outpace Keyed Entry though and Achilles of Troy should be in a spot to make a run on the pace setters.


Its a dilly.

Well, minor play with SNS gonna have Hesold and Greeleys in second too. We'll learn a lot from this race.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 03/18/2006 04:48PM by Chuckles_the_Clown2.