Joe,

The pattern you describe does sound like a good one, though I confess, I am not a great reader of patterns. I was mainly speculating as to why Discreet Cat's pre UAE Derby figure was so slow for such a fast horse.
I think that horses that run zero's and negatives early as 2YO's and than are forced to run them again and again while their bodies are still immature can burn out by their 3YO season. I suspect Discreet Cat has been allowed to develop with race like workouts but not all out races.
The crucial factor for me will be his UAE figure. If it show's he's on or near his peak, I think they can keep him there until the Derby. Of course, I woudn't mind seeing one more easy prep, but I'm not sure it's essential.
My view is that Godolphin has just not had the horses that could win the Derby untill now. Blues and Standards looked like he could be the one but was injured and later got sick and, tragically died. Discreet Cat could just be the one but, like I said, I need to see the UAE Derby figure.

Bob