Re: Brother Derek Downgrade (532 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 16, 2006 07:18PM
Uncle Buck Wrote:
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> You're right on with SNS Chuck, but when I look at
> Sinister Minister...I see Keats all over again...
>
> SNS proved in the Gotham that he can "stay" and
> run all day. His natural gait and hi rate of
> cruising speed are unmatched in this year's crop.
>
> I think he's a 3 length winner Derby Day...No
> matter how wide Kent D takes him
Keats had run a TFig 2 and won the Lexington by 3/4's of a length. Sinister Minister ran unmistakably fast fractions and won by 12 3/4 if i'm not mistaken in 1.48.4 on a track that was not playing quick. Additionally he took himself out of the race in the loss to Cause to Believe. Its possible that Sinister could have beaten Cause to Believe by 6 lengths with a little more bottom and maturity. That puts him in SNS's ballpark. You have to remember SNS is liable to face ground loss. Barring Trouble S.M. is gonna get the golden trip. I think the figure for S.M. will probably be faster. I know Beyer has it faster. This Beyer, I'm having trouble arguing with because the Bluegrass was clearly the lone exceptional race. But there is the two turn issue and bounce possibility to factor.
Theres still much to consider, but currently i"m leaning towards the Monarchos/Point Given bet I made in 2001.
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