Re: For the Record (546 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 23, 2006 12:34PM
miff Wrote:
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> Chuck,
>
> I do not envisage any "relaxing" for the up close
> runners in this derby. Too much early gas,
> imo.We'll see.
>
> Mike
Don't you have to judge their tractability by how they've paced themselves in the past?
Lets look at that angle.
Sinister Minister - He's obviously not going to be happy unless hes on the lead. He's not been effect from off the pace
Brother Derek - The last time he was not on the lead at the second call he missed the board.
Lawyer Ron - Has his Rebel as evidence being behind won't discourage him. That counts highly in his favor.
Barbaro - Does have two runs from just off the leader. The track was hot and he did prevail.
Sharp Humor - has contested every fraction he's ever run. If not on the lead he has not faired well.
Keyed Entry - Clearly a very quick horse. Undoubtedly will revert to the just off pace style of the Gotham.
Like Now - Apparently a pass, but clearly will not allow another horse to head him.
Mister Triester - Has won from off pace, but is clearly a pace horse without the brillance of his sire's other runner.
To my eye, Sinister Minister takes the lead. Sharp Humor, Mister Triester and Brother Derek battle for the pressing position. Lawyer Ron, Barbaro, Keyed Entry and SNS position for the stalking spots.
Private Vow, Point Determined, A.P. Warrior, Showing Up and Bob and John run from further back and Jazil, Steppenwolfer and Storm Treasure make their late runs.
Theres a crush in the first turn and a third of the field is eliminated. Theres nowhere to run on the second turn and a few others lose their chance. The distance eats at those stamina challenged.
There can be only one