Re: Handicapping the Derby (560 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 25, 2006 10:37PM
Tony Wrote:
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> If you think Sinister is going to win the Derby
> off that pattern I really have to question your
> handicapping ability. Again, all you have to do is
> look at past derby patterns. This horse is the
> ultimate bounce candidate. Show me a line where a
> horse won of this Jump up pattern (huge jump up
> number prior race to the derby).
>
> Handicapping the derby comes down to seeing what
> patterns work and how fast these horses finished
> their last quarter or eigth of a mile in their
> derby preps.
>
> Jerry, I will have a big problem if you give us
> the old "this horse looks like a bounce candidate
> but if he runs back to this number he wins" You
> know he won't.
His pattern is
13-sealed slop
3 - kinda told you with this one there was some ability
15 - Rating gambit non effort. Complete Toss
3 - That should have been a Zed, Zero and I mean it.
-4 he improved 4 points.
I like the pattern. I like it alot. This is a horse with tons of raw ability. So raw and so much ability its hard to say whats next. Did he really run too hard. Or is he about to rock the horse world. The beauty is, they are dismissing him.
p.s. pattern is not the panacea
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 04/25/2006 10:43PM by Chuckles_the_Clown2.
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