Nothing nuts at all about that...

what would be nuts is sticking with SM in the event his odds are significantly lower than what you're demanding now, which is a real possibility. Prepare to stay with the plan and take alternate action if necessary.

Then again, my Derby angle this year is divine intervention as one hole after another open up for Bejarano as the popular choice in the great clubhouse in the sky takes the roses. I'll take the insanity of believing that over the insanity of (me) trying to make sense out of this bunch.