After spending mucho time on these sheets. I have come up the the 2 horses most likely to make that move foward.

Private Vow- 1/4 move off his 2 yr old top in last, his 2nd off layoff. He was a complete throw out in his 3yr debut. Trainer not good off layoff, he now has him right and horse is explosive, needs a couple of pts move foward to hit exotics at 30-1. Also has the classic 2yr line with a number between 2-5 and appears to like CD. The best 30-1 shot in the race by far.

AP Warrior- His 2yr line is great for the derby, his big number 2 back is the jump off for the derby. Throw last out, weird race. Any good 3yr will get back and thru that nice number off that last weird race. A 1pt or 2 move up puts him there.

Many of the rest have big jumps last race, look spent, or flatlined. These 2 have the most potential for the required jump needed, they may not win but they will be there. The only others I am considering for the win spot are Bob and John and SNS, however, both have made that move already.