Re: Derby Post Mortem (653 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: May 08, 2006 07:14PM
miff Wrote:
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> Chuck,
>
> For a change I agree,Barbaro had some things go
> his way. He's cat quick from the gate and settles
> without pulling which is why things went his way.
> Check the replay of his dirt starts and I think
> you will see an exceptional athlete.How much he is
> spent by the effort remains to be seen.
>
>
> There may be one minor negative,when I saw him
> work in florida, in Feb, he did not carry too much
> flesh. Is that why Matz spaces him so long in
> between starts? If so, two weeks may not be enough
> recoup time off that effort. We'll see.
>
>
> Mike
>
Miff, he's undoubtedly a good horse. It wasn't the same as with the Giacomo clunk up. If its better than a Negative 1, which is a great Derby figure, so be it. Maybe that and the light race schedule would make him vulnerable to a bounce next. But I'm sure that light race schedule was designed to try and get him through the whole Triple Crown. I guess we'll see. Betting with conviction against Giacomo after his Derby win was easy. This Barbaro is a better horse than that and betting against him may be risky unless they say he ran so fast he's a bounce possibility. I don't know what to make of a super fast Derby fig. I don't see it in the charts and I'm still reviewing the paths. However, I wasn't correct about much in that Derby. Other than not being as big a fan of the California horses as some.
If he is going to be a Triple Crown winner, it couldn't happen to a more deserving bunch of guys, including the owners, who are selecting true horsemen to train for them. Mike Matz is a bona fide hero. Everyone knows the story.
Obviously Barbaro has the inside track on 3YO champion. At this point, I think theres 3 horses that could derail that and 2 of them I bet Saturday. We'll see about Bernardini. Don't even know how to spell that ones name yet.