Belmont Undercard--neg#'s (947 Views)
Posted by:
brokerstip (IP Logged)
Date: June 09, 2006 02:19PM
Been a lot of discussion about 3yos and negative numbers.
Saturday Undercard Race #8 ----I think this race is interesting.
Part I)
I am staring at Too Much Bling's sheet as I write.
The #1 hole with a big NEG number off a season opening pairup at the 2 1/4 , 2 1/2 level
Part II) The #2 horse LIKELY hit a neg # 2nd lifetime start as a 3yo, and reacted (careful how you use the word bounce in these parts...lol) to a 4 with a trouble line.
Part III) The #5 horse KEYED ENTRY also went neg his 2nd start as a 3yo, reacted twice and then x'd.
Part IV) the #9 horse Songster went Negative for the 1st time in his last race.
I'm ommitting Saint Daimon from the discussion though he ran a '0' in his last and that is not negative....but very very close.
I think this race offers a lot in terms of how one approaches these types of patterns.
I am not sure how I will play the race since I have over 24 hours to figure it all out. Since I will be on track tomorrow, I should have plenty of time between races to screw it up.
I would be interested in how some of the 'pattern' oriented sheetplayers are "assessing" this race......especially from the standpoint of the two very impressive winners Songster and Too Much Bling and their two very negative numbers.
My initial reaction is naturally to play against the 2 recent negatives and try to get Likely or Keyed Entry to run back to their previous tops. Might mix in the Dutrow horse and the Beattie horse (never gone backwards)...
That's just my intial and rather indecisive thought at the moment.
Bob
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