Re: unclaimed (621 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: June 22, 2006 09:15PM
DJ-- as I've said before about this, he was the most likely winner (meaning more likely than any other horse), but not a bet at a short price, let alone an "overlay at 1-9". I looked, in fact, to check the price on the horse that ended up winning, thinking Friedman's horse would actually be 1-9, and I might get 10-1. I didn't bet him at 6-1.
The larger issue concerns giving out horses like that, because a) there's very little upside, and a lot of things can go wrong, making the margin for error very small, and b) as Richie Scwartz used to say, what do we know that the public doesn't? In fact, there were things the barn could know that we and the public might not, in this case, and they were all potentially bad-- as bearing out in the race shows, using one example.
I'm out of here for the weekend, golf and Springsteen in Jersey.