Alan,

Very Good Analysis. I am so happy to see something like this vis a vis Rebates, volume betting etc... I've been sitting at home thinking this race through as well. I really Like the Wolfson Horse. I also think Showing Up will run a very credible race. Post position will help today. But I also tend to agree he will run better on Grass 2nd time out. I saw his race in Keeneland and it was impressive.

I agree the Dutrow horse will melt down the lane. I don't think Lewis Michael bounces today. And even if he does, I think if he runs anything like he did last he blows this field away. Catalano has this one ready. If you get anything at 15-1 ML . I think Im tempted to play this one together with the runners you mentioned. I think LM breeding screams turf. His last was to ogood to ingnore, and there is "word on the street". This is my only major difference from your analysis. I am playing a big exacta box Lewis Michael with Can't Beat it. i might play both to win if over 15-1.

What is really hard is decinding on how to play a super in this race. usually I can settle in in 6-8 horses in some logical order. This race is so wide open. A super may pay boxcars (provided the money is in the pool)

NC Tony



Edited 3 time(s). Last edit at 06/24/2006 12:04AM by NoCarolinaTony.