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Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (663 Views)
Posted by: DeathBredon (IP Logged)
Date: October 04, 2006 08:06PM

"Having said that, this is the first time I've been looking forward to betting Keeneland. Because I KNEW I couldn't beat the old track."

* * * *

Just curious about your meaning, Jerry -- I've always understood parimuteul wagering to be about betting the crowd, not the surface, the jocks, the trainers, etc.

That being said, as a Lexington local, I must admit that I have rarley been able to beat the Keeneland crowd (actually the big bettors affecting the margins) on a whole-card basis. Indeed, I think favorites come home well above average here (often 40% or better), as "the word" tends to get out and spread quickly through the grape vine.

Ayhow, my Keeneland wisdom to sheet players is as follows:

(1) a lot of thoroughbred gentry would rather win here than anywhere else (save Saratoga possibly), thus connections are worth a few points of improvement, often more;

(2) winners off huge lay-offs and few or no works are not uncommon for reason number one above;

(3) if a horse is mysteriously bet way down, ingore the sheets, pass the race -- trust me on this one;

(4) for handicappers of only moderate ability (like myself), the short Keeneland meeting usually presents only a couple of shots for a solid score -- pick your spots very carefully.

Best of luck to all!



Subject Written By Posted
Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (1994 Views) nicely nicely 07/31/2006 02:14PM
Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (1155 Views) Florida Phil 07/31/2006 02:59PM
Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (1090 Views) jbelfior 08/01/2006 09:34AM
Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (1300 Views) TGJB 08/01/2006 01:25PM
Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (981 Views) Fatso 08/04/2006 12:15PM
Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (888 Views) DeathBredon 08/09/2006 02:43PM
Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (1041 Views) colin 10/04/2006 12:37PM
Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (711 Views) TGJB 10/04/2006 01:16PM
Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (665 Views) elkurzhal 10/04/2006 03:45PM
Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (716 Views) TGJB 10/04/2006 04:18PM
Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (663 Views) DeathBredon 10/04/2006 08:06PM
Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (748 Views) TGJB 10/05/2006 01:59PM
Re: Jerry Brown wins DMR Handicapping Contest (644 Views) colin 10/05/2006 02:37PM


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