Re: ROTW distance (650 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: September 23, 2006 01:00PM
marcus Wrote:
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> ctc - At the oddschechecker.com , Lawyer Ron's BC
> Classic odds are in the 16-1 to 25-1 range , do
> you think we'll get this kind of price for him on
> BC Day ? My gut feeling is he'll be around 4-1
> max ( on BC Day ) .
>
> Today it looks like your projected LR's odds of
> around 6-5 don't offer much value but probably are
> right where they should be in relation to his
> chances of winning ...
Lawyer Ron is a bit of an enigma for the B.C. Classic. Thought he was one of the best horses going into the Derby, but discounted him from his post position with his running style. Today is a step towards the Classic for Lawyer Ron, but even if he's not up to the B.C. Classic horses he fits very well here. Remember he beat the Derby 3rd horse like a drum. He's at least in Blue Grass Cat's league and Blue Grass was way too much horse for Strong Contender.
I'm factoring Lawyer Ron upon where I rated him going into the Derby and he's proven at the abbreviated Super Derby distance and does like the track. I don't know what he'll go off at, but 6-5 seems very fair to me. Maybe he'll be much less, I dont know. I'm reserving opinion upon how he'll fair in the Classic until after the race. I do think he is going to fire a new top today.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 09/23/2006 01:02PM by Chuckles_the_Clown2.
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