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Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (597 Views)
Posted by: Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: October 13, 2006 08:56PM

bobphilo Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Chuckles_the_Clown2 Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> >
> > Theres only one way to win at this game.
> Beat
> > vulnerable low odds horses. It really is
> that
> > simple. I've been very patient waiting for
> the
> > right race to oppose Bernardini and as
> stated
> > I'll be in the "Beat Bernardini" line.
>
> Not quite Chuckles. The way to beat this game is
> to bet horses who's chances of winning are better
> than their odds. That can include some solid
> favorites. Sometimes being so eager to beat low
> priced horses can make people see vulnerabilities
> that are only in the mind of the bettor. Betting
> against horses like Bernardini is the best way to
> lose your money. The thing about looking for
> something too hard is that you start seeing it
> when it's not there.
>
> Let's see, his JC gold Cup win was against a small
> field. Have you considered that the reason
> Bernardini faced such a small field was that he
> scared them all off? Last month the knock was that
> he's getting headstrong and won't rate. Well, he
> disproved that one in the GC. Now it's because
> he'll be facing older horses. Do you think that
> some older horse who is slower than him is going
> to come to him in the race and say "Hey, I'm older
> than you, just look at my teeth" and he will
> decide, to run a poor race. When he looked
> Wanderin Boy in the eye it was the older horse who
> blinked. Good 3YO's beat slower older horses all
> the time in the fall.
>
> It's amazing how creative one can be when looking
> for something that just isn't there.
>
> Bob
> Bob
>


Bob, I'll give you credit for nailing Barbaro in the Derby at, what was it 6-1? (I just checked he was the second choice at 6.10-1.) Just note that in the Preakness where Barbaro flopped at 1-2, the Trifecta paid 4k and Super paid 11k and I'm on the record with "Beat Barbaro" and use Bernardini and Sweetsaint. Construe that however you may. I will grant you that the Derby was more lucrative in those exotics "if" you had them.

I don't need any advice about stretching, been there done that, bought the T-shirt and learned the lessons. Bernardini raises some concerns for me, but theres enough in his races to doubt him too. I won't be betting upon him to win. The strategy will be to oppose him by betting small to win big.

I'll lay out more of my plan later. Call me on being wrong afterwards, right now I'm in strategy mode.

CtC










Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 10/13/2006 08:57PM by Chuckles_the_Clown2.



Subject Written By Posted
Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (1016 Views) Silver Charm 10/09/2006 09:14PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (742 Views) Michael D. 10/10/2006 01:05PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (723 Views) richiebee 10/10/2006 03:12PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (564 Views) bobphilo 10/10/2006 04:10PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (599 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 10/10/2006 08:37PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (691 Views) NoCarolinaTony 10/11/2006 12:24AM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (681 Views) ronwar 10/11/2006 02:38AM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (886 Views) miff 10/11/2006 09:28AM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (575 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 10/11/2006 08:44PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (600 Views) bobphilo 10/11/2006 10:40PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (554 Views) flushedstraight 10/12/2006 12:22PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (576 Views) Michael D. 10/12/2006 01:51PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (603 Views) jbelfior 10/12/2006 02:10PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (597 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 10/13/2006 08:56PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (516 Views) flushedstraight 10/19/2006 12:13PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (582 Views) Wrongly 10/19/2006 12:46PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (550 Views) NoCarolinaTony 10/19/2006 06:08PM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (587 Views) miff 10/12/2006 09:18AM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (662 Views) Michael D. 10/12/2006 11:40AM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (621 Views) Silver Charm 10/12/2006 11:44AM
Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (589 Views) Silver Charm 10/11/2006 03:50PM


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