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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 2 Specials Available
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Re: BCUP Bad Favorites (565 Views)
Posted by: marcus (IP Logged)
Date: October 20, 2006 11:22AM

HH's line at end of 2 yo campaign really pointed this one out - no surprise that 3 yo numbers are also right there too .

I don't want to say that I don't care how a horse runs a number becouse I should know better , but I'm certainly giving deference to numbers and pattern over running style's or projected pace senario's .

When factors like pattern , numbers , breeding , running styles , projected pace senario's , timeliness , trainer & jockey patterns , starting positions etc coincide - that can add up to an "A" play if there is value .

Looking for the Horse who is ready to run a top effort or peak performance based on numbers and pattern that ( obvious groundloss not withstanding ) puts them there despite other considerations , to me is the most pervaisive criteria for determining a horse's chances of winning ...




Edited 4 time(s). Last edit at 10/20/2006 08:55PM by marcus.



Subject Written By Posted
BCUP Bad Favorites (1017 Views) scottv 10/19/2006 05:18PM
Re: BCUP Bad Favorites (533 Views) NoCarolinaTony 10/19/2006 06:08PM
Re: BCUP Bad Favorites (480 Views) Ill-bred 10/20/2006 09:20AM
Re: BCUP Bad Favorites (476 Views) scottv 10/20/2006 10:38AM
Re: BCUP Bad Favorites (565 Views) marcus 10/20/2006 11:22AM


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