Re: BCUP Bad Favorites (565 Views)
Posted by:
marcus (IP Logged)
Date: October 20, 2006 11:22AM
HH's line at end of 2 yo campaign really pointed this one out - no surprise that 3 yo numbers are also right there too .
I don't want to say that I don't care how a horse runs a number becouse I should know better , but I'm certainly giving deference to numbers and pattern over running style's or projected pace senario's .
When factors like pattern , numbers , breeding , running styles , projected pace senario's , timeliness , trainer & jockey patterns , starting positions etc coincide - that can add up to an "A" play if there is value .
Looking for the Horse who is ready to run a top effort or peak performance based on numbers and pattern that ( obvious groundloss not withstanding ) puts them there despite other considerations , to me is the most pervaisive criteria for determining a horse's chances of winning ...
Edited 4 time(s). Last edit at 10/20/2006 08:55PM by marcus.
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