Flushed,

Up till this point, the best BC Sprint Fig belongs to Kela who got a -3.3 running wide in a losing effort, the winner Speightstown received a -2.3 which is the best winning fig to date. Avg winning Fig for sprint is between -1.5 & -2.0. Is it conceivable the winner might run a -3, but for all the contentiousness that will take place in this race, if they all decide to all go at it during the race, some of those who have not been tested will wilt, others will show true championship form.

Right now I'm leading towards, Kelly's Landing, Pomeroy (forget this SPA stuff).

Areyoutalkingtome (too slow),

Attilla's Storm (Front End Wins only) too slow for these

Bordonaro (catch him if you can), fast enough will be feeling Heat early and often. Will grind down anyone who dares. Doubt he is lone speed, but may be speed of the speed.

Dubai Escapade - Front End Type too, has never competed vs males(no issue for me), however, will be feeling heat on front end too

Friendly Island will be runnning with the hot ealy pace seems a bit slow for this group.

Henny Hughes Been off a bit slow, grinds up and wears them down with power, Never been headed at the 4F mark going 6. Will be eye ball to eye ball in this one. Has the speed. beat fields of 4 and 9 and 5 this year. Today will be tested. last year lost twice when tested. Will be in the money and horse to beat(obviously).

Kelly's Landing- 4 for 5 in the money on the CD surface and Holds track record. Working very good, has a -2 twice at CD, and a running style from just off the early front runners to get the jump similar to Silver Train. Inner and outer, ran a nice one on Poly in last, @30-1 worth a long look.

Malibu Mint Filly & Mare G1 winner, got her arse kicked by Dubai Escapade the second time around. Handled by the same man who trains Caller One. Wone last two Poly efforts, all vs Fillies. The one positive is the off the pace running style. The Big win in the Princess Rooney came when the rail was dead.
I wouldn't bet this one with your money.

Nightmare Affair - Yeah I've had a few of those in my day, Anyway, Anopther mid to rear of the pack closer who's been racing mostly in the South Florida Circuit, seems a little slow, Could land a Piece of the Superfecta.

Pomeroy - doesn't need the front end to win. A Grinder. has Number Power to win this, May get the best and first jump on mid to rear pack closers and has stamina to pull of the victory. Trainer see fit to ship.

Siren Lure - Rear of the Pack Closer. Has run consecutive back to back lifetime tops in a well spaced campaign as a 5 yo. Those figs are still -1.5/-2.- points away from the best runners in this filed. Running style may benefit this runner. Not sure he has the number power to win this, but he may have the heart. PP will be critical for this one. In the money at best.

Thor's Echo [ From the Barn of Drug O'Neill. Coming of a liftime top of 5 points. Bounce & Pass.

Too Much Bling - Perfectly named Baffert horse. Has the number power to win. Lightly raced, Front Runner or just off the leaders. PP will be important. has not yet won a G1 race either coming off a 15 week layoff. Bounced off it's last big effort, but did get the rest. Factor in who wins the race, but it won't be this runner.

War Front - Game as they come. been running consistent -2's. 10 of 12 in the $.Runs near the pace. Jerkens is sending this one to the BC. He's still sitting on the BC duck as I recall. Figures well in this race, PP will be critical to his success.

So in Summary- I see a Exacta/Tri/Super Box with Kelly's Landing, Pomeroy, War Front and HH, hoping that Henny runs out. I can see Bordonaro, Simon Lure and Nightmare Affair get into the Super.I am sure you can make a case for many of these. Thats how I see's it today. The ODDS will determine how I bet that day.

NC Tony







Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 10/31/2006 04:27PM by NoCarolinaTony.