TGJB Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Pomeroy finished eighth by 8 lengths in last
> Year's Vosburgh as the favorite. In his last start
> he won the G I Forego at Saratoga by 2 lengths.
> According to Ragozin, which effort earned the
> bigger figure?
>
> Answer: the Forego, but only by half a point. In
> other words, Ragozin has Pomeroy's up-the-track
> effort in the Vosburgh as good enough to win this
> year's Forego.
>
> I'll probably come up with a couple more of these,
> but I'm taking off for Louisville Thursday and
> have to finish the seminar before then. Too bad,
> because there is a lot of comedy in them there
> "SHEETS".


Jerry,

reason for the discrepancy? i think it's because TG has the '05 vosburgh slower than Ragozin and the '06 forego faster (adjusted for figure drift, which i think was about 3.5 points in sprints in '05).

go back to the '05 BC. if you remember, taste of paradise, the horse that "got stopped" and came flying to lose by a head, was the best at 12-1, and lion tamer came in third at 12-1. both horses came out of the vosburgh, the race Ragozin has faster than TG.

more of the difference lies in the '06 race, but did you want the '05 vosburgh figure faster or slower heading into the BC last year?

and feel free to correct any mistakes i made, just did this from memory.






Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 10/31/2006 09:58AM by Michael D..