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Re: Rush to Resurface (470 Views)
Posted by: bobphilo (IP Logged)
Date: February 06, 2007 11:31PM

From a statisticians viewpoint the evidence is overwhelming that Polytrack is safer. The Turfway experience showed that catostrophic breakdowns dropped from 24 to 3 at Turfway and only went sligthy up to 5 when they meddled with it to make it more dirt like. In any case the Poly numbers for both seasons are much better than the dirt despite the fact that there were more entries in the Poly races. The results are similar for other tracks installing the new surface.

The rush is because horses are breaking down at an alarming rate when we have something available that has been shown to a high degree of statistical significance that it can prevent them. How many more horses have to die before a proven safer surface is brought in. The decissions are on a track by track basis but every track that has installed Poly looked very carefully at the results of the previous tracks to race on it before installing it and they all liked what they saw.
Just to give an example of how new drugs or medical procedures are tested and approved for use. Subjects are divided into different groups where one gets the new treatment and another gets the traditional treatment or a placebo. If partway into the experiment it is clear that the new treatment is significantly better than the others, the experiment is stopped and everyone is swithced to the new treatment for ethical reasons. When lives are at stake delays kill. When lives are at stake, quick desisive action is needed if the evidence supports it. The only problems with Ploy has been when the people mess with the correct the formula to make it more dirt-like in its early speed properties and even then, it's still safer than dirt.

Bob



Subject Written By Posted
Rush to Resurface (1077 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 02/06/2007 12:09AM
Re: Rush to Resurface (628 Views) Bull 02/06/2007 01:45AM
Re: Rush to Resurface (583 Views) fkach 02/06/2007 08:30AM
Re: Rush to Resurface (609 Views) bobphilo 02/06/2007 10:28AM
Re: Rush to Resurface (573 Views) ditz 02/06/2007 11:27AM
Re: Rush to Resurface (545 Views) bobphilo 02/06/2007 10:42AM
Re: Rush to Resurface (585 Views) miff 02/06/2007 11:14AM
Re: Rush to Resurface (526 Views) ditz 02/06/2007 11:28AM
Re: Rush to Resurface (530 Views) marcus 02/06/2007 12:20PM
Re: Rush to Resurface (528 Views) bobphilo 02/06/2007 01:10PM
Re: Rush to Resurface (497 Views) miff 02/06/2007 03:22PM
Re: Rush to Resurface (496 Views) bobphilo 02/06/2007 04:41PM
Re: Rush to Resurface (487 Views) fkach 02/06/2007 05:17PM
Re: Rush to Resurface (523 Views) miff 02/06/2007 05:25PM
Re: Rush to Resurface (480 Views) NoCarolinaTony 02/06/2007 11:49PM
Re: Rush to Resurface (444 Views) miff 02/07/2007 09:42AM
Re: Rush to Resurface (498 Views) bobphilo 02/07/2007 12:07AM
Re: Rush to Resurface (492 Views) RICH 02/07/2007 06:59AM
Re: Rush to Resurface (514 Views) NoCarolinaTony 02/06/2007 05:10PM
Re: Rush to Resurface (488 Views) jma11473 02/06/2007 09:51PM
Re: Rush to Resurface (470 Views) bobphilo 02/06/2007 11:31PM
Re: Rush to Resurface (504 Views) fkach 02/07/2007 09:53AM
Re: Rush to Resurface (483 Views) bobphilo 02/06/2007 10:59PM
Re: Rush to Resurface (484 Views) fkach 02/10/2007 11:29AM


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