Re: Beyer Beware-Changing Track Speed Controversy in the Gotham (474 Views)
Posted by:
fkach (IP Logged)
Date: March 20, 2007 03:50PM
I have several comments on this.
With all due respect to trainers, I will admit this is coming from someone that knows nothing about training other than what you can learn from reading a DRF for 30 years:
1. IMO, Violette made a monumental error if he changed the training of his horse based on a high Beyer figure. Even if a Beyer figure was an all encompassing number that represented everything that goes into measuring a horse's performance (which it is not and everyone that knows anything about handicapping knows that) it would still be foolish to change the training of a horse because of one. He should have looked at how the horse was behaving and adjusted based on that. Why assume the worst based on a number?
2. IMO, the winning Beyer figure for the Whirlaway was bias aided to begin with. The horse was running on the fastest part of the track that day. Even if the figure was accurate, it wasn't as big an effort as it looked.
3. IMO, the winning Beyer figure for the Whirlaway figure was too high, though I am not 100% convinced by as much as they lowered it because of the more subjective bias issue that may have contributed to it.
4. IMO, the Beyer Gotham figure does look a little light based on the ability of those horses.
Edited 3 time(s). Last edit at 03/20/2007 06:41PM by fkach.
Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.