I didn't perceive a bona fide bias, though per usual, talented horses with speed were advantaged. That said there were a good number of exceptional off pace efforts by horses at longer odds. Bias is a very delicate determination and when it is discovered without public knowledge it can be a wonderful betting edge.

For the subject Turfway card however, I'd be much more interested in Tgraph's opinion of changing track speed.

Hard Spun will probably be in the top three betting choices for the Bluegrass and its unlikely he'll go off any higher than about 5-1. If he gets beat there I'm going to attribute it to running into some very good horses.

You have to be careful you don't set yourself up for a "Speedy Gonzalez". That is changing the variables because you don't like the result.

Hard Spun Certainly has a nice TFig Profile, courtesy of the Red Board Room. Hits a fast juvenile top his last juvenile race. Immediately matches it as a 3YO and then equals it again with a buried notation. In the Lanes End he went forward signficantly if I don't miss my guess. Nice figure profile.

Though only 5-2 Hard Spun was a Tgraph coup. Much faster with solid profile.

Sandreadis Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> #1 Speed horses 1-2
> #2 Speed horses 1-2
> #3 Wire to wire by 6 lengths
> #4 Wire to wire by 2 lengths
> #5 Wire to wire by 2 lenghts
> #6 Wire to wire by 6 lenghts
> #7 Horse on lead 2nd beaten head
> #8 Stalkers run 1-2
> #9 Stalkers run 1-2
> #10 Hard Spun 3w,3w 22.3 first quarter, draws off
> at 1 1/8??
> #11 Wire to wire Speed 1-2
>
> Beware Hard Spun fans, there was a huge bias
> yesterday. Closers didn't have a chance.



Edited 3 time(s). Last edit at 03/25/2007 01:55PM by Chuckles_the_Clown2.