Re: Derby (538 Views)
Posted by:
SoCalMan2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 05, 2007 11:54AM
RICH Wrote:
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> I think pletcher opted for the easier route with
> AGS, he needs earnings, without stake $ he don't
> get in. In the Bluegrass there is a chance he
> doesn't hit the board 1st or 2nd. This way with
> the wood is much easier.
Rich
There is no question about that.
I think the point that people are trying to make is that the Wood only became easier because Pletcher chose to withdraw Circular Quay from it and send Cowtown Cat to Chicago.
If we assume that Circular Quay is physically on top of things, then it looks suspicious. The owners of CQ would be wondeing -- "why are we going into the Derby off 8 weeks when we had a perfectly good plan all along?" Also, "why allow a tough opponent (Any Given Saturday) to get much needed graded stakes money?"
Then imagine that AGS gets just enough earnings in the Wood to squeak into the Derby field and then beats an unlucky CQ by a nose for all the money in the Derby. If I were the owner of CQ, I would say "why on earth didn't we run against that guy in the Wood? We could have eliminated him from the Derby then and there." When you see one trainer with so much influence over the competitive balance, things start to look suspiciou.
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