Jerry/Allan,

How comfortable is your track guy with the 4w/4w given to Any Given Saturday. He certainly was 4 wide into the first turn, but I have watched the replay several times (albeit not great angles) and it looks like he is 3w early in the far turn, then 2w halfway through the far turn after the other horse fades.

Looking at the horses nice 2 year old foundation, fast Tampa race and deceptively 'decent' figure in the Wood (if the Ground loss is right), this horse looks live to me at 12 or 15 to 1. Especially with 4 weeks rest into this race, instead of 3 weeks into the Wood. Before the Wood, Pletcher was clear that the reason for the change in races for this horse was that he knew the horse had to run on 3 weeks rest in either his last prep or the Derby and he preferred to have the additional rest for the Derby. Since it was BEFORE the race and not after, it wasn't an excuse for losing. Plus, I don't believe he was ducking street sense, anybody that gives any value at all to ground loss knows that Any Given Saturday ran a better Tampa race than Street Sense.