Ky Oaks (922 Views)
Posted by:
Michael D. (IP Logged)
Date: May 03, 2007 06:58PM
little interest if this is sloppy, but ....
trip estimates:
Cash Included - 1w/1w
High Heels - 1w/2w
Octave - 1w/3w
Cotton Blossom - 2w/3w
DoA - 2w/2w
R to R - 4w/4w
as for performance:
Cash Included - failed in three tries to break through 2 yr old top.
High Heels - I'm betting on a bounce.
Octave - very nice jump in the BC. nice pair first out. toss the rough trip poly. half sis by Belong To Me excelled going long. ready to jump to the '2' to '3' lvl.
Cotton Blossom - very nice BC run. concerned that she didn't develop much second out this year. is she stuck at the '5' level, or was the 3 weeks rest last not enough? tough call.
DoA - another very tough call for me. has the talent and the breeding, and connections have her ready to run big. would like her a lot more if there were less speed types involved.
R to R - fast last two, think there is another small forward move coming. '0'.
if Gomez works out the trip - good-bye. R2R has been averaging 4w in much smaller fields though, and drew wide in the 14 horse field. how about Octave? she ran along the rail for four straight races, and has drawn well. Cotton Blossom? nice post, but she often runs wide. if I'm right on my trip analysis, R2R is the likely winner, but offers little value at odds on. Octave offers the best value, and I don't have a confident read on CB or DoA.
it's Octave as the key, with R2R the other use.
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