The advantage of thorograph is not just getting good figs but seeing patterns. One of the questions I always ask myself is who has the best pattern and to me this year it is Scat Daddy. IMO, he is the most likely to run a winning figure. To me trips are almost impossible to project in a 20 horse field except for the horses with speed. He breaks from the fourteen hole and is bound to lose some ground, but he figures to be midpack where I'd like my horse to be.