Possibility of rain in the forecast. Colonella has excellent mud breeding, and has some good speed. I would play her if there is moisture in the track. HOWEVER, there are some red flags. For a speed horse, there is no easier game than a loose on the lead trip going one mile at Monmouth. Even with the perfect set up, the race was not that great. Her quarters went 23.2, 23.1, 25.2, and 26.3
...not exactly exploding at the end, and you are now adding on an extra furlong. Furthermore, Colonella's full sister was much better sprinting than routing, so the Pleasant Colony and Northern Dancer blood does not guarantee a successful stretchout in this case. I think she will go off around 3-1, which probably reflects her true chances of winning. I think Shug's horse might make a late run in this one. For some unknown reason, he seems to have all of his horses cranked up for a Saratoga meet.