Re: Retraction...............Re: Kentucky Derby 2007--Final Figures (763 Views)
Posted by:
fkach (IP Logged)
Date: May 10, 2007 06:27PM
>CTC-- Right. And if you take a look at the 06 BC numbers, still posted on this site, you will see that despite having a bad day result wise, Pletcher's horses ran very well there too. <
IMO, people tend to underrate the impact that two skills have on trainer win percentage.
1. Knowing their horse's ability and spotting them properly
2. Recognizing if a horse is doing very well and only running those that are. This leads to a higher percentange of the trainer's starters actually running their "A" race. (of course many trainers don't have this luxury)
In the big races, skill #1 is virtually worthless and I suspect some trainers are more vulnerable to pressures for the big race - which reduces the value of #2.