Re: Contrarian View of Hard Spun (513 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: May 13, 2007 12:39PM
Albany, nice post. Your theme is that maybe Hard Spun had more to give but for the work.
My belief is that he ran well enough to win and the same or a similar effort may be enough in the Preakness unless the red sea rail parts for Street Sense again. I also like his breeding to go on a bit more.
CtC
albany Wrote:
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> Prior to the Derby, the consensus was that Hard
> Spun's 57 3/5 work was too fast and that he left
> his race on the training track. I rejected this
> view in the belief that good horses work fast and
> that the consensus would inflate Hard Spun's odds.
> This resulted in a rather successful dip into the
> exacta pool.
>
> For the Preakness, the consensus view is that Hard
> Spun's pre-Derby work was, in light of the Derby
> finish, not too fast at all. Ever the contrarian,
> I am now of the mind to accept the pre-Derby
> consensus that the work was indeed too ambitious.
> If one accepts this position, how impressive was
> Hard Spun's effort and how much of a monster could
> he be?
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