Re: Go Ahead...Try To Beat Him (Again) (450 Views)
Posted by:
richiebee (IP Logged)
Date: May 16, 2007 02:18AM
I think MO is on the MOney again: Preakness contenders with Ed Fountaine ML:
Street Sense: (8/5) I think he's closer to (Even). Handicapping 101 says at
this price SS has to show me he can perform at Pim as well as he has in his 2
CD tour de force performances. J66 nailed it...the quick 2 week turnaround
between CD and Pim is not the way young expensive horses are trained in this
era, and the uncertainty as to which horses are going to react how adds to the
limited intrigue of this race.
Hard Spun: (5/2) Sits nonplused chasing FFC,takes over with 5/8ths left, expends
some energy to open 5 on the field and holds off 2 tired closers, SS and CQ.
Final margin 1-1/2 lengths. Other alternative slow break FFC or slow first 1/4
and HS takes control early. Pairs and wins.
Observation: If your colt works 57 and comes back dinged up, YOU worked him too
fast. If he works like that and continues sound, HE's a fast colt. Aint fair,
right Cowboy?
Curlin: (9/2) I guess we are all waiting for the bounce so we can see where the
second phase of his development will take him. Who knocked over my Kool Aid?
Also see a pilot change in this guy's future, which will likely aid his "development".
CQ: (8) Will duel with SS for position near the back. A late Gomez move though
futile will make this one an ill advised (like Tiago) Belmont bet.
KOTR: (12) Businessman Barry Irwin gets some exposure for Team Valor. I think
the impact of KOTR might be that he affects HS by co- stalking with him if FFC
takes the top. His top TG was in a 7-1/2 f dash;if he has distance ability I
think it will evidence itself in a softer spot later in the year. BI himself
says SS is the man and does not seem that scared of any of the others.
The future: Will not be betting much and only consolation if SS wins will be
that national spotlight will be turned on troubled NY Racing. Would love to see
someone in power in this situation either (1) take the blame or (2) admit that
things are badly broken or (3) have an idea about how to improve things.
Bad news if SS wins Triple Crown-- you almost have to retire him after the
Belmont. Look for the Dubai Bros to offer Tafel a couple of Emirates or a few
floors in the world's tallest building.
Street Sense and HS are the only ones in here who will come back at Bel. SS
only if he wins, HS if he is 1 or 2.