has the fast negative '1' in th La Derby, closing from post 1 in the 1 1/16m race. had it tougher in the Derby, starting from post 16, and having to unleash the late run from a longer distance.

CQ now cuts back a bit, draws perfectly, and gets good pace to run at.

a return to negative territory? not so sure, as I still think he is going a bit longer than he wants. the Derby run, however, was better than it looks on paper, and given the nice draw, does he even need better than '0'?

looking for a rail trip to the far turn, a run in the '0' range, and a top two finish at decent odds.

Hard Spun makes sense, as he should also favor the cut back, but faces the risk of a three wide run around the rirst turn, which makes this a risky proposition at 3-1 or lower.

Calvin and Street Sense are going to have to wait until JR makes his move before they get run, and there is no guarantee he takes his negative '2' outside of Ky. most likely winner, but also lacking value at even money or lower.

Curlin? don't know. would use with a top three jock up, but ....

KotR? i don't like him at the distance, but has the fast fig and the HUGE timing advantage. could get brave if it comes up wet fast.

after the first look, it's CQ.