Sugar Shake - came in off the freshening last, a good category for Frankel, and couldn’t break through. Now stretches in distance and faces other speed. Not for me.

Unbridled Belle - big top last. Three ways of looking at it, 1) she’s much better than last year, is a true 10f filly, and should be ready to run big again with the nice timing, 2) she’s coming in off a big new top run over the quirky Del surface and is about to bounce to the moon, or 3) something in the middle …… I think this is a legitimate filly, concerned about the switch from the Del to NY surface though. Tough call, but predicting a run in the ‘1’ range.

Lila Page - small backwards move to the ‘2’ lvl last. Looking for similar, which likely won’t be enough for the win.

Teammate - nearly impossible to predict how this miss will run. No excuse last though, and will not get an easy lead. Not for me.

Miss Shop - was a ‘1.5’ type last year. Has failed in 7 chances to break through this year, but 5 of those races were on turf. I liked the 9f Rampart win at GP on very short rest, and the run last while held up for much of the race behind a slow pace wasn‘t bad. Break through to the ‘0’ lvl today with the good pace up front? That’s my call.

Indian Vale - at first glance this is a filly going in the wrong direction who doesn’t like 10f. Not so fast (or not so slow I should say). Decent TG fig last with the high weight and 3w/3w trip. Comes in with perfect timing, and returns to a surface she loves. Could be right there at the 1/8th pole battling for the win.


Miss Shop the key at long odds.

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Sar 8/23 - The Ballston Spa:

2. Vacare - ‘4.5’ type last year running for Block. Average Lear Fan improves 2 points from three to four, and this is Clement. ‘3.75’ first out this year, and could only match the fig last. Gets a good freshening, and cuts back a bit in distance. Gets a few lbs from MT, and Prado should save every inch of ground. Looking for a 1w/1w run in the ‘2.5’ range, which should put her right there.

Vacare the key at ml of 5-1.