Re: Thanks Alan + Question for Jerry (482 Views)
Posted by:
miff (IP Logged)
Date: August 29, 2007 08:07PM
"But I think that horse for horse the numbers are right. And so far, on poly, which both dirt and grass horses appear to handle, the figures seem to hold together"
JB,
On present Del Mar poly, there are few horses, if any, that can actually run/perform as fast as they do on a dirt surface. You are talking about performance figs projected off previous dirt figs without any regard for raw time. The reality is that horses run MUCH slower on the DEL MAR poly surface and only projection makes them pair their dirt performances.
It's a fig makers leap of faith to suggest that horses at Del Mar are ACTUALLY performing as fast as they do on dirt.Maybe you can make performance figs that way, but horses are running slower across the board in the real world of racing and I'm not speaking raw time alone.Del Mar poly is extremely unkind in returning energy and horses cannot physically perform to their dirt norm. Thats science not projection.
Mike