Interesting. The private clocker (National Turf) says she's training very well, too. I just hope she didn't leave her race on that 8/28 work -- why does a grass horse need to blow out in 34? Nice single though, the odds are right.

I like your logic, my only contention would be the fav. you are throwing out. Don't forget it's Mitchell, and she did chase a run-away horse in last and I think that's why she got beat. I didn't see it as a regression regardless of the sheet fig.