Re: Forego Woodward (400 Views)
Posted by:
xichibanx (IP Logged)
Date: September 01, 2007 01:52PM
We both started bad.
The 3rd race at Saratoga is very interesting.
This looked like a five horse field to me: Owner's Manual, Brilliant Son, Vitruvius, Americanus, and Starbase.
Owner's Manual ran a very good race first off the layoff against a very weak field on July 7th. He came back in a mile turf in which he ran an even race. He is a lightly raced 3yo that has right to improve again. Garcia adds to the price for Frankel but he is not my top pick.
Brilliant Son has run some very good races in the past espically last out. However he is 4yo with 10 races and I would rather be on one of the 3yo's in here. BTW...Didn't Craig Perret used to own this horse?
Vitruvius ran well last out and was scratched against Any Given Saturday in the Dwyer where he would have been an overlay. I am shocked he is not 6/5 although there is still time. If you ignore his last race at a mile and rate him off of his first race at 7/8 that would make him an underlay at any price. I like his breeding though.
Americanus has run three good races in a row since joining the Contessa barn. That was an overrated Grade Two race last out but he is the best sprinter in the field. As a lightly raced 3yo, he has a right to improve again. I have him as my top pick and 3/2 on my line.
Starbase is a bit overraced in my opinion. Has run well short or long on dirt or poly. Probably will hit the board.
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