Re: Rags To Riches (513 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: September 15, 2007 09:28PM
spa Wrote:
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> She ran a great race,anybody notice the last tick
> before the start? Rags went 1/2 and the winner
> 2/1. Chuckles,money talks and you know the rest.
> On BC day, she is the most probable
> winner..............
I'm not sure I agree that she will be the most probable winner, though I'm certain the crowd will bet her that way. However assuming I reach that same conclusion I'm sure I will assign a vastly different probability of that outcome. The key variable in my mind isn't Rag's ability, it's Plech in New Jersey.
I think we'll have a pretty good basis to factor Rag's effort off the Red Board tomorrow and to revisit some of her previous races too.