Re: I don't do this very often... (793 Views)
Posted by:
Treadhead (IP Logged)
Date: December 29, 2002 02:26AM
Jerry, let me start by saying that I have used your product for almost 5 years now and I think you have a far superior product (the figures) and I am fully supportive of almost all the positions you take vs. Ragozin.
That being said, you should take a much closer look at the Santa Anita analysis before patting yourself on the back. Nick may be an exteremly intelligent individual and have tons more handicapping experience than I do, but the Santa Anita analysis so far has been MISERABLE and seems contrary to many of the basic fundamentals that need to be followed when using your figures.
The picks the first 3 days have been mostly favorites, and most of those favorites have lost. Particularly suprising was the mention of 2yr olds Ghostzapper (OK, you didn't officially pick him, but why not take a stab against him?) and Ds Bertrando, who were fast, but bounce candidates based on the absolute quickness of their previous figures.
Look thru the analysis the first 3 days and see how many favorites and second favorites were selected and how many of them actually hit. You missed some great value chances, and I though that's what has always been preached, look for the value. It seems like Nick is more concerned with the absolute number of winners he is picking vs. the ROI of his selections. Only it isn't working out very well.
I never use the analysis anyway, and just happen to be looking at it because it's free, but it just re-inforces the fact that I don't need to pay $25 to have someone give me a bunch of cheap horses that don't even come in. Except for your double today, congrats.
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